MODELING OF EPIDEMICS BASED ON A DYNAMIC APPROACH Zhukov Alexey Olegovich Abstract: The article is devoted to an important problem of quantitative modeling of the spread of epidemics.
The possibility of constructing models of epidemics in a multidimensional state space is scientifically justified.
To build models, we suggest using a dynamic approach. An algorithm for parametric identification of the matrix
parameter of the model is proposed. An example is given that demonstrates the possibility of practical applica-
tion of the proposed approach in epidemiology.
Key words: modeling, epidemic, pandemic, identification, state space, dynamics, emergency situation,
EMERCOM of Russia.